Results for the week: With MSFT (at $195.15) up $7.41 (3.9%) for the week, the portfolio gained $1,883, or 7.6%. This is an unusually large gain considering MSFT rose so much. Most of the time, we do better when the fluctuation is more moderate (in either direction). A good part of this gain was due to IV gaining this week. A week ago, the least-expensive (the at-the-money strike) one-week straddle would cost $5.58. At yesterday’s closing prices, this straddle would cost $6.85. The straddle cost is a good proxy for IV of underlying. By this measure, for MSFT, IV rose 23% and the portfolio showed a large gain. For COST, on the other hand, IV for the week fell by 23% and the Rising Tide portfolio lost value this week.
Next week, our short one-month options will expire. The risk profile graph shows an unusually high possible gain with a flat or moderately higher stock price. If IV continues at the same level, we have a chance for the portfolio to enjoy a gain of 200% for the year to date. Wouldn’t that be exciting?